trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 100% | 0% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 100% | 0% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +40.0% | +26.6% | 100% | 50% | +80.1% |
| all | 12 | +23.9% | +12.1% | 100% | 33% | +77.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.1% | 33% | +77.7% |
| 10% | +1.3% | 25% | +60.7% |
| 15% | -8.4% | 17% | +45.2% |
| 20% | -17.4% | 17% | +31.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colombia (-2.5) | Uzbekistan | 77¢ | 84¢ | $40 | $43 | +$3 (+8%) |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? | No | 93¢ | 84¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | Apr 17 | $281 | +$262 | +93% |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Apr 13 | $123 | +$152 | +124% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 9? | Apr 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Apr 10 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal Ho | Apr 10 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Mar 08 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Mar 08 | $3 | +$1 | +35% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +5% |