Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:47:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x659a…5ef1
crypto · 242 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$21,764 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,866 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$20,866
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses240 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)242 / 242
History coverage77d
Avg bet$5,754
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,127
7 days+$1,725
14 days+$2,005
30 days+$5,914
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2,819 +$26 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5,029 +$64 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3,739 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $37,428 +$378 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $7,218 +$189 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4,047 +$41 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,478 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4,697 +$44 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $518 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2,474 +$25 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $6,793 +$80 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2,737 +$26 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $12,672 +$190 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $27,138 +$274 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1,701 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 08 $7,177 +$282 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $2,625 +$25 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 02 $4,368 +$135 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 02 $2,393 +$28 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 02 $30,935 +$31 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 01 $31,862 +$32 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 31 $4,127 +$53 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 31 $2,503 +$24 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 30 $6,759 +$175 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 30 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 28 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 27 $1,177 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 25 $6,648 +$635 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 24 $3,099 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 24 $3,317 +$58 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 23 $1,611 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 22 $3,741 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 22 $13,526 +$144 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 20 $4,818 +$67 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 20 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 20 $55,303 +$559 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 20 $7,243 +$147 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 20 $6,220 +$277 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 20 $5,556 +$195 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 20 $507 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 19 $243 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 18 $3,018 +$116 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 17 $2,984 +$30 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 17 $4,195 +$103 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 17 $694 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 17 $709 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 17 $4,071 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 16 $29 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20,866
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,781 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,626 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,403 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,359 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $379 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $925 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9,252 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $925 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,850 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $554 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,850 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21,969 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2,099 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5,119 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $335 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3,712 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,478 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,302 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,395 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $518 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $240 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 56 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 242 +3.1% -6.7% 99% 3% -8.2%
all 242 +3.1% -6.7% 99% 3% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 3% -8.2%
10% -15.6% 2% -17.0%
15% ← realistic here -23.8% 1% -25.0%
20% -31.2% 1% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2595 history records