| Will Drake release an album by October 24? |
Dec 03 |
$100 |
+$3 |
+3% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? |
Dec 03 |
$201 |
+$179 |
+89% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15? |
Oct 08 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025? |
Oct 08 |
$100 |
+$17 |
+17% |
| Bird flu vaccine in 2025? |
Oct 08 |
$100 |
+$7 |
+7% |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025? |
Oct 08 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Canada tariffs on China in effect before July? |
Jul 05 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? |
Jul 05 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Israel military action against Iran before July? |
Jul 05 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? |
Jul 05 |
$100 |
+$18 |
+18% |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July? |
Jul 05 |
$100 |
+$21 |
+21% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? |
Jul 05 |
$100 |
+$27 |
+27% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? |
Jul 05 |
$50 |
+$102 |
+203% |
| Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025? |
Jul 05 |
$100 |
+$58 |
+58% |
| US-China trade deal before June? |
May 19 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? |
May 19 |
$50 |
−$50 |
-100% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? |
May 19 |
$100 |
+$15 |
+15% |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? |
May 19 |
$100 |
+$16 |
+16% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? |
May 19 |
$100 |
+$133 |
+133% |
| New Pope before July? |
May 09 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in April? |
May 09 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? |
May 09 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| New Pope in 2025? |
May 09 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025? |
May 09 |
$200 |
−$200 |
-100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? |
May 09 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days? |
May 09 |
$100 |
+$6 |
+6% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? |
May 09 |
$100 |
+$9 |
+9% |
| Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? |
May 09 |
$100 |
+$27 |
+27% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio |
May 09 |
$100 |
+$55 |
+55% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? |
May 09 |
$1,200 |
+$744 |
+62% |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April? |
Apr 29 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? |
Apr 23 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? |
Apr 23 |
$100 |
−$85 |
-85% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease? |
Apr 23 |
$100 |
+$28 |
+28% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? |
Apr 13 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| 700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May? |
Apr 09 |
$100 |
+$24 |
+24% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? |
Apr 09 |
$100 |
+$160 |
+160% |
| Trump approval >45% on May 1? |
Apr 07 |
$106 |
+$155 |
+147% |
| Avalanche vs. Blackhawks |
Apr 05 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4? |
Apr 05 |
$20 |
+$9 |
+45% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers |
Apr 05 |
$100 |
+$19 |
+19% |
| Bruins vs. Canadiens |
Apr 05 |
$100 |
+$54 |
+54% |
| Will Trump announce tariffs on Canada on April 2? |
Apr 05 |
$200 |
+$436 |
+218% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? |
Apr 03 |
$200 |
−$200 |
-100% |
| Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April? |
Apr 02 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31? |
Apr 02 |
$100 |
+$27 |
+27% |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel |
Apr 02 |
$1,000 |
+$162 |
+16% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? |
Mar 31 |
$1,000 |
+$442 |
+44% |