trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka | Jiri Lehecka | 84¢ | 0¢ | $408,099 | $0 | −$408,099 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $199,522 | $0 | −$199,522 (-100%) |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $801,169 | $0 | −$801,169 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $3,066,614 | $0 | −$3,066,614 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $7,264,447 | +$4,325,650 | +60% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $3,116,954 | −$3,066,614 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $203,597 | −$199,522 | -98% |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? | May 29 | $811,556 | −$801,169 | -99% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar | May 25 | $305,773 | +$49,239 | +16% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson | May 25 | $826,043 | −$34,543 | -4% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka | May 25 | $410,016 | −$408,099 | -100% |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? | May 25 | $134,108 | +$76,425 | +57% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $2,156,806 | +$1,920,599 | +89% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 44% | 44% | +1.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 44% | 44% | +1.6% |
| all | 9 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 44% | 44% | +1.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -27.9% | 44% | +1.6% |
| 10% | -34.8% | 33% | -8.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -41.1% | 33% | -17.0% |
| 20% | -46.9% | 33% | -25.1% |