Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65c4…3c1a
sports · 162 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2,180 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,177 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$2,177
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses76 / 85
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$860
Open positions1
Markets (closed)161 / 162
History coverage8d
Avg bet$230
Trades / day123.8
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,078
7 days+$1,671
14 days+$2,177
30 days+$2,177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 26¢ $23 $26 +$2 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Pandawa Lima 35¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $81 +$260 +322%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $181 +$117 +65%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 12 $126 +$49 +39%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $62 −$8 -12%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$5 -26%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $136 +$59 +43%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $672 +$25 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $148 −$146 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $432 −$432 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $399 −$399 -100%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $433 −$433 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $140 +$288 +206%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $92 +$20 +21%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $578 +$790 +136%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $326 +$111 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $78 +$28 +36%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas Jun 12 $308 −$302 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $141 +$278 +197%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America L Jun 12 $19 −$15 -76%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $645 +$109 +17%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $115 +$89 +77%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $158 −$61 -39%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 12 $167 +$150 +90%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $65 −$19 -29%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $485 +$370 +76%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 12 $19 −$14 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 12 $138 +$99 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$3,249
crypto 5% −$1,069
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $23 49m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $272 57m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $43 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $8 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 8¢ $14 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 92¢ $69 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 20¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 98¢ $147 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 66¢ $100 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 30¢ $151 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 16¢ $13 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 16¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 16¢ $24 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 16¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 16¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 15¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 16¢ $21 3h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South SELL Estar Backs 88¢ $90 7h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South SELL Estar Backs 88¢ $48 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South SELL Estar Backs 88¢ $25 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South SELL Estar Backs 80¢ $12 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 63¢ $42 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 63¢ $50 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 63¢ $35 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Gior Dota Team 28¢ $54 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 31¢ $62 8h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner SELL Estar Backs 12¢ $14 9h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 15¢ $8 9h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 16¢ $4 9h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 15¢ $7 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -6.8% -15.7% 45% 43% -5.4%
≤30d 161 -1.8% -11.1% 47% 44% -4.2%
≤90d 161 -1.8% -11.1% 47% 44% -4.2%
all 161 -1.8% -11.1% 47% 44% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 44% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 38% -13.4%
15% -27.4% 36% -21.8%
20% -34.5% 32% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.50 · official $25.50 (match) · 1079 history records