trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -14.7% | -22.8% | 41% | 41% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -21.8% | -29.3% | 37% | 37% | -29.4% |
| ≤90d | 51 | -40.4% | -46.1% | 27% | 27% | -36.2% |
| all | 54 | -35.7% | -41.9% | 31% | 31% | -28.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.9% | 31% | -28.6% |
| 10% | -47.4% | 31% | -35.5% |
| 15% | -52.5% | 31% | -41.7% |
| 20% | -57.2% | 26% | -47.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $603 | $585 | −$18 (-3%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 5¢ | $120 | $170 | +$50 (+41%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $152 | +$78 | +51% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $102 | +$93 | +92% |
| Algeria leading at halftime? | Jun 23 | $152 | +$125 | +82% |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 23 | $152 | −$56 | -37% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$68 | +134% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $46 | −$45 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $203 | +$189 | +93% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $60 | +$46 | +77% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | +$80 | +157% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $20 | +$30 | +146% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $112 | +$64 | +57% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 25 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $131 | −$130 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 | May 20 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $50 | +$99 | +197% |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | Mar 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Mar 31 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Mar 31 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Spurs | Mar 31 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Bucks | Mar 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 28 | $10 | +$6 | +63% |
| Nets vs. Lakers | Mar 28 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Wizards vs. Warriors | Mar 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Mar 28 | $6 | +$5 | +88% |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Mar 28 | $10 | −$6 | -62% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 28 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 27 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | Mar 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |