Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65e1…d5a2
crypto · 70 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$33 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses43 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day107.7
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$33
14 days+$33
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$4 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$23 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$64 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$27 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$43
other 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 53% -6.8%
≤30d 70 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 53% -6.8%
≤90d 70 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 53% -6.8%
all 70 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 53% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 53% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 41% -15.7%
15% -27.2% 33% -23.9%
20% -34.3% 21% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 179 history records