Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T16:31:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
65 0x65e8…d97c crypto 700 markets active 2h ago coverage 73d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 72d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$450 (-3%) realized −$450 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%688W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day9.9pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$43
14 days+$65
30 days+$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$10
other 7% −$5
finance 6% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +1.7% -8.0% 100% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 415 +1.0% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.0%
≤90d 700 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
all 700 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$23 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$450
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses688 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)700 / 700
History coverage73d ⚠
Avg bet$21
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 700 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $49 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? Jun 27 $10 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? Jun 27 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $49 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? Jun 27 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? Jun 27 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 27 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET Jun 27 $29 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $18 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 26? Jun 26 $23 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3PM ET Jun 26 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 26? Jun 26 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? Jun 26 $29 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? Jun 26 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 19h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY Yes 96¢ $14 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY No 97¢ $29 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 24h
Solana Up or Down on June 27? BUY Down 99¢ $49 24h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 27? BUY Up 99¢ $49 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? BUY Up 95¢ $50 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $11 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $28 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $14 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.75 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records