Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:39:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65ec…2d77
crypto · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$2 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses42 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$10 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +9.7% -0.7% 88% 60% -11.1%
≤30d 48 +9.7% -0.7% 88% 60% -11.1%
≤90d 48 +9.7% -0.7% 88% 60% -11.1%
all 48 +9.7% -0.7% 88% 60% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 60% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 35% -19.6%
15% -18.9% 19% -27.4%
20% -26.8% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.14 · official $1.14 (match) · 96 history records