Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65ec…a2f9
sports · 1290 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$200 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$382 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$382
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses675 / 608
Est. fees paid−$165
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1283 / 1290
History coverage51d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 7 History 1283 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$22
14 days+$68
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 60¢ 60¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhang Magdalena Frech 55¢ 54¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 54¢ 52¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-5%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jacob Fearnley 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 59¢ 42¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-30%)
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 58¢ 32¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-44%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Sofia Kenin 49¢ 10¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-78%)
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon Maxwell Mckennon 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ilkley (Doubles): Christie/Silva vs Brooks/Rajecki Brooks/Rajecki 58¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Spencer Johnson 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Jun 14 $11 −$1 -5%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 14 $11 +$9 +80%
ITF Martos: Joao Domingues vs Pablo Martinez Gomez Jun 14 $11 +$9 +83%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $13 +$9 +70%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $10 +$9 +86%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$8 +82%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $9 +$11 +119%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $101 +$46 +45%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $11 −$11 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $11 +$8 +71%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ilkley (Doubles): Christie/Silva vs Brooks/Rajecki Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Cattolica (Doubles): Jecan/Pavel vs Grevelius/Heinonen Jun 13 $10 +$9 +92%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Anas Mazdrashki Jun 13 $11 +$9 +78%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $9 +$11 +115%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $11 +$8 +73%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $11 +$10 +86%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $9 +$12 +129%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $11 −$2 -14%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $11 +$8 +70%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
ITF Decatur: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$152
other 9% −$107
crypto 6% −$145
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Jacob Fearnley 47¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 58¢ $12 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Sofia Kenin 49¢ $10 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zha BUY Magdalena Frech 55¢ $12 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 60¢ $12 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $11 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Sinja Kraus 50¢ $11 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SELL Samsung Lions 97¢ $20 1h
ITF Martos: Joao Domingues vs Pablo Martinez Gomez BUY Pablo Martinez Gomez 54¢ $11 3h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 53¢ $11 5h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 59¢ $11 5h
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon BUY Maxwell Mckennon 51¢ $10 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $8 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $18 10h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 32¢ $8 10h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 10h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire SELL PortlandFire 99¢ $20 11h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $10 11h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 58¢ $13 11h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 54¢ $11 11h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 53¢ $10 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 12h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Los Angeles Sparks 52¢ $10 12h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 45¢ $9 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ $5 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ $1 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ $80 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ $4 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ $40 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 78¢ $4 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 -0.7% -10.2% 51% 50% -7.9%
≤30d 665 -0.2% -9.7% 52% 51% -9.1%
≤90d 1283 -2.8% -12.0% 53% 52% -12.1%
all 1283 -2.8% -12.0% 53% 52% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 52% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 52% -20.5%
15% -28.1% 50% -28.2%
20% -35.2% 45% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.68 · official $59.03 · 2720 history records