trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +165.9% | +140.6% | 58% | 50% | +22.0% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +72.1% | +55.7% | 38% | 33% | +4.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +72.1% | +55.7% | 38% | 33% | +4.5% |
| all | 21 | +72.1% | +55.7% | 38% | 33% | +4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +55.7% | 33% | +4.5% |
| 10% | +40.8% | 33% | -5.5% |
| 15% | +27.2% | 33% | -14.6% |
| 20% | +14.7% | 24% | -23.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $5 | +$3 (+161%) |
| Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 5¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 12¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-38%) |
| Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-44%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 11¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-66%) |
| Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $170 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $120 | +$53 | +44% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | +$20 | +982% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$27 | +1290% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$11 | +55% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$4 | +172% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $114 | −$46 | -41% |