trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 100% | 29% | +0.0% |
| all | 23 | +12.8% | +2.0% | 96% | 22% | -7.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.0% | 22% | -7.4% |
| 10% | -7.7% | 17% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -16.7% | 4% | -24.4% |
| 20% | -24.8% | 4% | -31.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Les Wexner charged by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $67 | $67 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $58 | $58 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | Jun 02 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? | Jun 02 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | May 25 | $268 | +$91 | +34% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $226 | +$42 | +18% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 23 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Apr 09 | $224 | +$2 | +1% |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Apr 01 | $223 | +$1 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls | Feb 27 | $465 | +$5 | +1% |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Feb 27 | $600 | +$9 | +2% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Feb 26 | $285 | +$780 | +274% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Feb 26 | $1,221 | −$1,221 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 14? | Feb 18 | $1,505 | +$2 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 05 | $995 | +$10 | +1% |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Feb 02 | $1,175 | +$320 | +27% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Jan 24 | $590 | +$190 | +32% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 5 above $3.50? | Jan 10 | $984 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 02 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Jan 02 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $421 | +$1 | +0% |