Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:35:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6608…a502
crypto · 841 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$70 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized+$70
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses816 / 23
Open positions2
Markets (closed)839 / 841
History coverage3d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day295.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$70
14 days+$70
30 days+$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 96¢ 94¢ $48 $47 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 97¢ 90¢ $48 $45 −$3 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 98¢ 10¢ $49 $5 −$44 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $48 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $44 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $48 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 839 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 839 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 839 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -9.4%
all 839 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover295.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 1% -18.1%
15% -25.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -32.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.25 · official $97.25 (match) · 1758 history records