Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:19:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x661d…1d3e
crypto · 756 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4,003 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,981 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$3,981
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses520 / 235
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)755 / 756
History coverage21d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day136.1
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 755 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$151
7 days+$319
14 days+$467
30 days+$3,981
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$33 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $177 +$50 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$14 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $447 +$151 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$23 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$18 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$65 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$70 +168%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$37 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$14 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$18 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $219 +$65 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$22 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $156 +$49 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $83 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$3,836
other 0% +$55
politics 0% +$110
sports 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $83 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $105 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $31 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $194 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -1.1% -10.5% 63% 41% -5.0%
≤30d 755 +5.6% -4.5% 69% 42% +0.2%
≤90d 755 +5.6% -4.5% 69% 42% +0.2%
all 755 +5.6% -4.5% 69% 42% +0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 42% +0.2%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 25% -9.4%
15% -22.0% 15% -18.1%
20% -29.6% 10% -26.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.57 · official $0.58 (match) · 3500 history records