Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:37:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x661f…f766 crypto 24 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (242 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$7 (+1%) realized +$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate38%9W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day242.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (242 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -2.4% -11.7% 38% 33% -8.8%
≤30d 24 -2.4% -11.7% 38% 33% -8.8%
≤90d 24 -2.4% -11.7% 38% 33% -8.8%
all 24 -2.4% -11.7% 38% 33% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover242.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 33% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 33% -17.6%
15% -27.9% 33% -25.5%
20% -35.0% 33% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 47% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
8.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$64 vs −$38 · ×1.69 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses9 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage1d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day242.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 24 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$33 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $63 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$24 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $96 +$134 +139%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$74 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $174 −$174 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $30 +$136 +459%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$20 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $62 +$135 +217%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $12 +$19 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 263 history records