Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:47:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6620…6c63
crypto · 901 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$158 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$158 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$158
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses447 / 453
Open positions1
Markets (closed)900 / 901
History coverage35d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$377
7 days+$377
14 days+$777
30 days+$447
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 64¢ 66¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+175%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+158%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+159%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+141%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+121%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+202%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+111%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+161%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+144%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$12 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$162 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$16 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$39 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$49 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$78 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$136 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$19 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$26 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$64 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$72 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$20 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$25 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$64 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$52 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$38 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$86 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$32 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$22 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$29 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$32 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$44 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$48 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$32 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$27 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$10 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $17 +$8 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 31 $17 +$35 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 31 $24 +$34 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $25 +$26 +106%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$194
other 2% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $17 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $16 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $58 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $46 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $17 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $17 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $32 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $17 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+42.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +327.6% +286.9% 49% 49% +12.8%
≤30d 707 +66.0% +50.2% 50% 46% -8.4%
≤90d 900 +56.9% +42.0% 50% 46% -10.5%
all 900 +56.9% +42.0% 50% 46% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.0% 46% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here +28.4% 43% -19.1%
15% +16.0% 37% -26.9%
20% +4.6% 27% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.81 · official $13.92 · 3002 history records