Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:18:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6637…f84c
crypto · 131 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,137 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,139 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$790
Realized−$3,139
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses65 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)130 / 131
History coverage45d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,436
7 days−$1,446
14 days−$1,843
30 days−$2,887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $788 $790 +$2 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,035 −$1,035 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $602 +$38 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $855 −$855 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $304 +$66 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$10 +5%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $304 +$183 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $609 −$187 -31%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $305 −$258 -84%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $304 −$250 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $159 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1,946 −$1,776 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2,227 +$113 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $509 −$91 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $406 −$223 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,648 +$1,172 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $301 +$14 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$67 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $404 +$68 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $622 +$237 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $367 +$324 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$48 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$234 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $611 +$966 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 05 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 05 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 05 $151 −$58 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 05 $26 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 05 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 05 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 05 $76 +$20 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 05 $410 −$312 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 05 $209 −$26 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 05 $408 +$68 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $355 +$26 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $205 −$68 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $309 −$294 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$3,545
other 8% +$259
sports 1% +$155
politics 1% −$5
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $89 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $406 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $513 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $275 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $247 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $370 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $102 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $487 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 7¢ $47 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $304 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $54 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -13.4% -21.6% 60% 31% -18.1%
≤30d 121 -11.5% -19.9% 51% 36% -19.0%
≤90d 130 -14.5% -22.6% 50% 35% -19.6%
all 130 -14.5% -22.6% 50% 35% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 35% -19.6%
10% -30.0% 26% -27.3%
15% -36.8% 21% -34.3%
20% -43.0% 16% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $790.08 · official $790.08 (match) · 529 history records