trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +120.0% | +99.0% | 80% | 80% | +94.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +9.7% | -0.7% | 47% | 47% | -2.3% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +9.7% | -0.7% | 47% | 47% | -2.3% |
| all | 24 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 38% | 38% | -11.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 38% | -11.7% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 38% | -20.1% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 38% | -27.8% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 33% | -34.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 57¢ | 49¢ | $400 | $345 | −$55 (-14%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 20¢ | $100 | $67 | −$33 (-33%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $37 | −$12 (-25%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $203 | +$155 | +76% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$75 | +365% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $203 | +$189 | +93% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $182 | +$301 | +165% |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $203 | +$161 | +79% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $120 | −$118 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$56 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $121 | −$120 | -99% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 05 | $207 | −$207 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $20 | +$7 | +37% |
| Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -86% |
| Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will England win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will France win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| zkSync airdrop by June 30? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +56% |