Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T08:17:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6650…ddea other 12 markets active 1d ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$4,877 (-98%) realized −$4,877 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$417per market
Trades / day19.0pace
Fees−$65est.
Kalshi-fit33%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 56% −$2,740
other 44% −$2,134
crypto 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 12 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 12 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 12 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -100% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$406 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,877
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 12
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$417
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -95%
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco? Jun 19 $448 −$436 -98%
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 19 $683 −$665 -97%
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 19 $1,025 −$1,000 -98%
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 19 $927 −$905 -98%
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 19 $853 −$835 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia? Jun 19 $33 −$32 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia? Jun 19 $189 −$184 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? Jun 19 $56 −$55 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia? Jun 19 $288 −$280 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia? Jun 19 $308 −$300 -97%
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Morocco? Jun 19 $188 −$183 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records