Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6654…2f15
crypto · 990 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,824 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,824 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18,824
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses487 / 503
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)990 / 990
History coverage79d
Avg bet$160
Trades / day28.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 990 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$321
7 days+$1,144
14 days−$739
30 days−$4,343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$71 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$80 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$29 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $144 +$108 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$100 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$106 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$64 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $157 +$159 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$21 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$49 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$14 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $262 +$292 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$125 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $38 +$142 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $140 +$153 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $172 −$78 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $78 +$86 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $142 +$77 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 09 $140 −$135 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $52 +$64 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $26 +$78 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $11 +$14 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $64 +$168 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $92 +$36 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $88 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $61 +$18 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 08 $56 +$16 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $196 +$184 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 07 $128 −$125 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 07 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 07 $129 +$115 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 07 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $41 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $50 +$40 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $186 +$178 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $91 +$91 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$17,070
sports 4% −$1,639
other 0% −$116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $231 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $144 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $55 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $32 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $33 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $71 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $42 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $316 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $157 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $27 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +5.5% -4.5% 51% 46% +8.6%
≤30d 435 -5.9% -14.9% 51% 46% -18.5%
≤90d 990 -8.9% -17.5% 49% 45% -20.1%
all 990 -8.9% -17.5% 49% 45% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 45% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 40% -27.8%
15% -32.6% 34% -34.8%
20% -39.2% 27% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2817 history records