Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:19:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x665e…c51a crypto 856 markets active 7d ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2,775 (-3%) realized −$2,775 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate89%766W / 90L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$120per market
Trades / day60.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2,688
14 days−$3,548
30 days−$3,403
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,403
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -16.4% -24.4% 73% 36% -38.5%
≤30d 856 -0.9% -10.4% 89% 23% -12.5%
≤90d 856 -0.9% -10.4% 89% 23% -12.5%
all 856 -0.9% -10.4% 89% 23% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 23% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 3% -20.8%
15% -26.8% 1% -28.5%
20% -34.0% 1% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$131 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,775
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses766 / 90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)856 / 856
History coverage19d
Avg bet$120
Trades / day60.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 856 Trades
no open positions (44 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $87 −$83 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1,316 −$1,316 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1,283 −$1,273 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1,029 +$671 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $217 −$210 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $322 −$322 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $151 −$150 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $164 +$23 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $153 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $152 +$27 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $153 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $155 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $158 −$156 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $153 +$47 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $149 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $152 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$58 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $149 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $156 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $154 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $151 −$150 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $154 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $165 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $158 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $157 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$19 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $154 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $152 −$150 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $152 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $151 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $151 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $144 −$142 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $171 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $152 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $153 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $103 −$101 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $102 −$101 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $132 +$15 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $143 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $212 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $204 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $202 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $204 +$28 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $87 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1,316 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $157 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $122 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $146 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $68 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $146 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $146 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $55 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $68 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $146 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $68 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $81 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1839 history records