trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +17.5% | +6.4% | 100% | 50% | +7.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 83% | 17% | -14.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 93% | 7% | -11.8% |
| all | 17 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 94% | 6% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 6% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 6% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 | Over | 72¢ | 100¢ | $549 | $762 | +$213 (+39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $546 | +$5 | +1% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $641 | +$219 | +34% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $418 | −$415 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $525 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will Divya Deshmukh win Norway Chess 2026? | Jun 07 | $518 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May? | Jun 02 | $516 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | May 09 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 01 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April | May 01 | $266 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix m | Apr 22 | $516 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Apr 13 | $515 | +$1 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Apr 10 | $514 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormu | Apr 09 | $514 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31? | Apr 01 | $513 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 24 | $513 | +$1 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $512 | +$1 | +0% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Mar 12 | $510 | +$2 | +0% |