Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T23:01:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6672…1634 crypto 57 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$150 (+19%) realized +$150 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate45%25W / 31L
Drawdown85%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day121.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$62
other 5% −$12
sports 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 39% -3.2%
≤30d 56 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 39% -3.2%
≤90d 56 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 39% -3.2%
all 56 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 39% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover121.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 39% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 38% -12.5%
15% -23.9% 32% -20.9%
20% -31.4% 25% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 48% · top 2 62% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$15 · ×1.38 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses25 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day121.2
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 22 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $31 +$19 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$25 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 22 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 22 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$34 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 22 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 22 $48 +$243 +510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $12 +$73 +633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$16 +75%
New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt? Jun 22 $1 +$2 +197%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Chris Wood: 1+ goals Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$14 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 22 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 22 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$27 +253%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 22 $1 $0 +24%
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals Jun 22 $1 $0 -37%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Federico Valverde: 1+ assists Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$11 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 22 $8 +$13 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 21 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 21 $1 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $2 −$2 -99%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals Jun 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists Jun 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 21 $1 +$2 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 21 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 21 $7 +$3 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $25 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $23 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $50 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AN BUY 8¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $75 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $20.00 · 239 history records