Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:13:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6674…f5c6
crypto · 1338 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$76 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses893 / 444
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1337 / 1338
History coverage167d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 -0.5% -9.9% 68% 64% -11.1%
≤30d 608 -1.3% -10.7% 64% 54% -12.9%
≤90d 608 -1.3% -10.7% 64% 54% -12.9%
all 1337 -1.5% -10.9% 67% 48% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 48% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 28% -20.6%
15% -27.2% 11% -28.2%
20% -34.3% 4% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.10 · official $0.91 (match) · 3462 history records