Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6683…8b7e
sports · 632 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,138 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,099 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$246
Realized−$1,099
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses368 / 215
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions49
Markets (closed)583 / 632
History coverage18d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day77.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 49 History 583 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$926
7 days−$1,001
14 days−$1,007
30 days−$1,099
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $30 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 91¢ 90¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Under 78¢ 78¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5 Over 97¢ 97¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Under 81¢ 78¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 50¢ 48¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-5%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 77¢ 78¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Under 30¢ 92¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+207%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 70¢ 69¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 Under 46¢ 94¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+105%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Minnesota Lynx 17¢ 23¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Saudi Arabia 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? No 90¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Over 72¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? No 38¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 56¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-3.5) Cabo Verde 70¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 +$6 +76%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $45 +$1 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $292 −$292 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $22 −$8 -37%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $19 +$5 +24%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $134 −$134 -100%
Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$6 -64%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $18 −$10 -57%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $1 +$1 +42%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$830
other 21% −$311
world 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 51¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 BUY Under 45¢ $0 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 BUY Under 30¢ $3 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 BUY Under 46¢ $3 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 BUY Over 52¢ $4 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 56¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 56¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $2 1h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 21¢ $2 1h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 17¢ $4 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 22¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 22¢ $1 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 62¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $4 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $4 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $8 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $7 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 22¢ $4 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $9 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 62¢ $2 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $1 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 393 -2.5% -11.8% 63% 49% -42.1%
≤30d 583 -4.7% -13.8% 63% 47% -36.5%
≤90d 583 -4.7% -13.8% 63% 47% -36.5%
all 583 -4.7% -13.8% 63% 47% -36.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 47% -36.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 34% -42.6%
15% -29.6% 23% -48.1%
20% -36.5% 15% -53.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $245.94 · official $245.67 (match) · 2063 history records