Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T11:36:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6683…45ff crypto 608 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 28d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! loses its big bets
Total PnL +$18,985 (+15%) realized +$18,985 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate83%507W / 101L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown67%max
Avg bet$213per market
Trades / day101.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 28d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6,319
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 173 +4.3% -5.6% 82% 55% -12.4%
≤30d 608 +10.1% -0.4% 83% 53% -5.1%
≤90d 608 +10.1% -0.4% 83% 53% -5.1%
all 608 +10.1% -0.4% 83% 53% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 53% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.9% 28% -14.2%
15% -18.6% 17% -22.5%
20% -26.6% 11% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early +13% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$66 vs −$271 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18,985
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses507 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)608 / 608
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$213
Trades / day101.5
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 608 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $401 +$42 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $286 +$27 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $301 +$43 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $302 +$35 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $219 +$24 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $301 +$64 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $403 −$403 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $392 +$80 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $180 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $205 +$104 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $302 +$58 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $402 −$402 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $179 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $401 +$43 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $326 +$35 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $202 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $302 +$102 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $359 −$359 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $293 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $388 +$55 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $392 +$90 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $195 +$62 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $393 +$35 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $197 +$129 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $394 +$65 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $393 +$39 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $323 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $247 +$50 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $242 +$115 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $194 +$40 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $373 +$89 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $382 +$312 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $194 +$34 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $293 +$27 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $193 +$24 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $371 +$78 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$49 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $38 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $193 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $197 +$96 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $204 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $202 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$10 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $53 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $47 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $201 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $100 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $201 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $85 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $33 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $201 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $16 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $12 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $38 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $202 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $19 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records