Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x668a…da78
crypto · 1148 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$439 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$437 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized−$437
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses558 / 541
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions49
Markets (closed)1099 / 1148
History coverage86d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 49 History 1099 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 74¢ 74¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? No 75¢ 74¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? No 67¢ 66¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? No 72¢ 71¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? No 74¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 78¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? No 77¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 73¢ 74¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? No 77¢ 78¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 77¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? No 77¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? No 77¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $51 +$23 +44%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +24%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 11 $15 −$1 -8%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 $0 +11%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +27%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +44%
Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +23%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +52%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 $0 +24%
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +26%
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 +$2 +36%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Israel vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Luxembourg vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Hungary vs. Andorra end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Gibraltar vs. Kosovo end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +32%
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 $0 +12%
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 $0 +13%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +21%
Will Kosovo vs. Andorra end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +14%
Will Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +18%
Will Argentina vs. Honduras end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +11%
Will Curaçao vs. Aruba end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +10%
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +29%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +20%
Will Bolivia vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +23%
Will England vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 $0 +8%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +26%
Will Albania vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 $0 +13%
Will Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 $0 +13%
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +44%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 $0 +20%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$326
weather 12% −$111
sports 4% −$21
tech 1% +$21
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $3 1h
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $3 1h
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $3 1h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $3 1h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $3 1h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $3 1h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $3 1h
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY No 69¢ $3 1h
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $3 1h
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $3 1h
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $3 1h
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $3 1h
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $3 1h
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $3 1h
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $3 1h
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY No 77¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $3 1h
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $3 1h
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY No 77¢ $3 1h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $3 1h
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $3 1h
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY No 77¢ $5 1h
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $3 1h
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $3 1h
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY No 77¢ $3 1h
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $3 1h
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -10.5% -19.0% 71% 62% -1.7%
≤30d 56 -10.5% -19.0% 71% 62% -1.7%
≤90d 1099 -9.7% -18.3% 51% 46% -15.1%
all 1099 -9.7% -18.3% 51% 46% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 46% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 41% -23.2%
15% -33.3% 38% -30.6%
20% -39.8% 35% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $183.86 · official $183.86 (match) · 2939 history records