Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x669d…e561
other · 125 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$54 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$44
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses104 / 15
Open positions6
Markets (closed)119 / 125
History coverage183d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 6 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 70¢ 76¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 92¢ 23¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-75%)
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 50¢ 16¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-69%)
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? $60k 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $46 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $30 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $20 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $15 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $30 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $30 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $30 $0 +1%
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 31 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30? May 30 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30? May 30 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? May 28 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? May 02 $2 −$2 -94%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $10 $0 +1%
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $25 $0 +1%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $2 +$1 +27%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30? May 01 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 30? May 01 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30? Apr 30 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29? Apr 29 $10 $0 +0%
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 29 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28? Apr 29 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 24? Apr 25 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? Apr 25 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 23? Apr 24 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 23? Apr 24 $46 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? Apr 17 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $50 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 14? Apr 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13? Apr 14 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12? Apr 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 10? Apr 11 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$3
other 36% +$5
world 5% −$1
politics 3% −$39
economics 1% −$10
tech 1% $0
culture 0% −$3
finance 0% −$5
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 12h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $46 36h
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 44h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 44h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $6 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $30 3d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 4d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $10 4d
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 6d
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 6d
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 6d
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $30 7d
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 7d
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 9d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $30 9d
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 12d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 12d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $20 12d
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $20 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 28 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 75 -8.5% -17.2% 87% 3% -10.5%
all 119 -5.8% -14.8% 87% 7% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 7% -11.4%
10% -23.0% 3% -19.9%
15% -30.4% 1% -27.6%
20% -37.2% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.91 · official $64.91 (match) · 274 history records