Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:51:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66ab…9bc2
other · 65 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$85 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses28 / 33
Open positions4
Markets (closed)61 / 65
History coverage122d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 4 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28? Mar 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28? Mar 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-27? Feb 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27? Feb 27 $15 +$19 +127%
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26? Feb 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26? Feb 26 $14 +$27 +194%
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26? Feb 26 $15 −$1 -8%
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26? Feb 26 $7 +$9 +127%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? Feb 25 $56 +$47 +83%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25? Feb 25 $39 +$48 +122%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24? Feb 25 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24? Feb 24 $28 +$10 +37%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24? Feb 24 $8 −$7 -83%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? Feb 24 $20 +$8 +39%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13? Feb 24 $26 −$1 -5%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23? Feb 23 $4 +$4 +92%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22? Feb 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $10 +$8 +82%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $8 +$15 +185%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $5 +$4 +85%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $19 −$19 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $4 +$4 +104%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $5 +$7 +138%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $8 +$6 +75%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21? Feb 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $2 $0 -13%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $17 +$9 +54%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $10 +$4 +45%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $8 −$8 -100%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $10 $0 -5%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $5 +$14 +284%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20? Feb 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $12 +$21 +178%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $3 +$5 +156%
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18? Feb 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18? Feb 19 $7 +$26 +376%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18? Feb 19 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18? Feb 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET Feb 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% +$65
world 4% +$24
crypto 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 57¢ $4 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $9 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28? BUY Yes 57¢ $31 105d
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 105d
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27? SELL Yes 100¢ $34 105d
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-27? BUY Yes 43¢ $26 106d
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27? BUY Yes 44¢ $15 106d
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26? SELL Yes 100¢ $41 106d
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26? BUY Yes 34¢ $14 106d
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26? SELL Yes 35¢ $14 106d
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26? BUY Yes 38¢ $15 107d
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 107d
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26? BUY Yes 44¢ $7 107d
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26? BUY Yes 48¢ $6 107d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? SELL Yes 99¢ $103 107d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 107d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 55¢ $25 108d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 55¢ $21 108d
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25? SELL Yes 100¢ $87 108d
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 45¢ $20 108d
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 45¢ $19 108d
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24? SELL Yes 100¢ $38 108d
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 108d
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24? BUY Yes 73¢ $28 108d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? SELL Yes 100¢ $28 108d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24? BUY Yes 54¢ $24 109d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 61 +3.3% -6.6% 46% 44% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 44% +2.2%
10% -15.5% 44% -7.5%
15% -23.7% 43% -16.5%
20% -31.1% 38% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.72 · official $14.72 (match) · 143 history records