Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:06:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x66b1…340f sports 248 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (371 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$29,430 (+11%) realized +$30,634 · open −$1,204
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -63% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -72% what you keep after slip
Net edge-72%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate20%132W / 525L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,113per market
Trades / day371.1pace
Fees−$3,491est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$2,192now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$942
other 0% −$155
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (371 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-66.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 626 -66.7% -69.8% 18% 9% -29.8%
≤30d 657 -63.0% -66.6% 20% 10% -27.7%
≤90d 657 -63.0% -66.6% 20% 10% -27.7%
all 657 -63.0% -66.6% 20% 10% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover371.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.6% 10% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here -69.8% 10% -34.6%
15% -72.7% 9% -40.9%
20% -75.4% 7% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -63% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -26% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$381 vs −$212 · ×1.8 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.45 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$2,192
Realized+$30,634
Unrealized−$1,204
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses132 / 525
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$3,491
Open positions6
Markets (closed)657 / 248
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$1,113
Trades / day371.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 657 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Spirit 74¢ 74¢ $1,465 $1,455 −$10 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs INOX Division 66¢ 69¢ $330 $347 +$17 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs SPARTA 33¢ 30¢ $165 $152 −$12 (-8%)
Will Astralis make a roster change before July? Yes 36¢ 55¢ $91 $137 +$46 (+50%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Team Falcons 54¢ 56¢ $94 $99 +$4 (+5%)
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Elise Mertens 44¢ 0¢ $890 $1 −$889 (-100%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 24¢ 0¢ $344 $1 −$343 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 493 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Jun 17 $167 −$334 -200%
Counter-Strike: 33 vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Jun 17 $74 −$147 -200%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 17 $49 −$98 -200%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 17 $116 −$232 -200%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $66 −$132 -200%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $494 −$494 -100%
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo Jun 17 $39 −$79 -202%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 17 $81 −$162 -200%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane Jun 17 $63 −$63 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajda Jun 17 $99 −$198 -200%
Naples: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 17 $113 −$113 -100%
Antalya 3: Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterine Gorgodze Jun 17 $47 −$47 -100%
Spread: Clippers (-4.5) Jun 17 $93 −$93 -100%
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Jun 17 $306 −$306 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 17 $115 −$115 -100%
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $145 −$290 -200%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Anastasia Zakha Jun 17 $82 −$82 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $6 −$11 -200%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 17 $73 −$73 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Jun 17 $69 −$69 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevic Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 17 $370 −$370 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $110 −$110 -100%
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5) Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-10.5) Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Carabelli Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Niko Jun 17 $196 −$196 -100%
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez Jun 17 $110 −$110 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? Jun 17 $110 −$110 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Karen Khachanov Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fer Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Jun 17 $82 −$82 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 33¢ $78 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 33¢ $89 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 33¢ $168 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 47¢ $70 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 47¢ $165 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 66¢ $330 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 65¢ $34 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 65¢ $291 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 33¢ $14 12h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 33¢ $2 12h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 33¢ $3 12h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 33¢ $7 12h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY SPARTA 33¢ $139 12h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 63¢ $63 13h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $72 13h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 13h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2,694 13h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 15¢ $15 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 25¢ $0 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 25¢ $24 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 25¢ $0 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 25¢ $0 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $3 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $4 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $0 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $5 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $0 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $0 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $17 14h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $38 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,192.00 · official $2,192.07 (match) · 3500 history records