Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66bb…e15e
crypto · 887 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses573 / 314
Open positions0
Markets (closed)887 / 887
Avg bet$4
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$651
14 days−$191
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 352 -46.9% -51.9% 36% 36% -43.6%
≤30d 887 +0.3% -9.3% 65% 64% -9.6%
≤90d 887 +0.3% -9.3% 65% 64% -9.6%
all 887 +0.3% -9.3% 65% 64% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 64% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 64% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 55% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 38% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1793 history records