Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:05:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x66ca…3637 crypto 1512 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$7 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate89%1343W / 162L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day63.6pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$25now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days−$113
14 days−$212
30 days−$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 63% −$86
other 33% +$170
sports 2% −$243
weather 1% −$10
world 0% −$11
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 -2.7% -12.0% 81% 41% -11.6%
≤30d 1494 -1.2% -10.6% 89% 23% -10.4%
≤90d 1505 -1.2% -10.6% 89% 23% -10.4%
all 1505 -1.2% -10.6% 89% 23% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 23% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 11% -19.0%
15% -27.0% 6% -26.8%
20% -34.1% 2% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$9 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$25
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1343 / 162
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1505 / 1512
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day63.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 7 History 1505 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+47%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+29%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+17%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $24 $0 +1%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $24 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $24 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $31 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $24 $0 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $5 +$1 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $38 +$1 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $3 +$1 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $24 $0 +2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $3 +$2 +57%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$3 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +8%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 18 $3 +$8 +262%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $24 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$1 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $24 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $24 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally Jun 18 $10 +$2 +24%
Dublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet Jun 18 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $24 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $24 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$3 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $24 +$2 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$4 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$3 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $24 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $31 $0 +1%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? AN Jun 17 $10 +$4 +36%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$3 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 10m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $9 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 80¢ $5 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $24 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 14h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 18h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 18h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 18h
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 18h
Dublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet BUY Kyrian Jacquet 55¢ $3 20h
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally BUY Karolina Pliskova 80¢ $10 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $24 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.71 · official $24.72 (match) · 3500 history records