Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66ca…8078
sports · 1032 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$582 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$580 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2,947
Realized+$580
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1022 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1026 / 1032
History coverage10d
Avg bet$464
Trades / day244.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 6 History 1026 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$142
7 days+$456
14 days+$580
30 days+$580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 100¢ 100¢ $1,809 $1,810 +$1 (+0%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 100¢ 100¢ $658 $658 +$0 (+0%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 100¢ 100¢ $409 $409 +$0 (+0%)
Set 1 Winner: Prozorova vs Kraus Prozorova 100¢ 100¢ $44 $44 +$0 (+0%)
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Shelton 100¢ 100¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha Isaro/Poonacha 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $1,809 +$2 +0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Rudolf Molleker Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Pieri vs Granwehr Jun 12 $48 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Mihalikova/Nicholls Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Stoiana (-1.5) vs Sun (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Contri vs Durand Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,808 +$2 +0%
Lyon (Doubles): Ruehl/Wehnelt vs Mansouri/Neuchrist Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Ibragimova vs Burel Jun 12 $111 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $378 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $253 $0 +0%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $525 +$1 +0%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $270 $0 +0%
ITF kiseljak: Andrej Nedic vs Yaroslav Demin Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Adams vs Jeong Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Libema Open (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $294 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Djuric vs Jadoun Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Mannarino Jun 12 $109 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Tikhonova (-1.5) vs Samir (+1.5) Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Ivanova vs Popa Jun 12 $24 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Blanch vs Sanchis Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Silva vs Petak Jun 12 $85 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Bernet vs Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $57 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Wiskandt vs Kopp Jun 12 $85 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Kubka (-1.5) vs Morvayova (+1.5) Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Iakubenko vs Mckennon Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $255 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Cuenin vs Mashtakov Jun 12 $93 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Curbelo vs Chopra Jun 12 $253 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Morvayova vs Kubka Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $514 +$1 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,807 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $29 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $2,263 +$18 +1%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $864 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,807 +$2 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Chanta vs Hontama Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Cangrejeros de Santurce vs. Indios de Mayaguez Jun 12 $154 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $400 $0 +0%
Capitanes de Arecibo vs. Aguada Santeros Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Yamazaki vs Yoshimoto Jun 12 $29 $0 +0%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers v Jun 11 $42 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Stringer (-1.5) vs Grumet (+1.5) Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $35 $0 +0%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,805 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$458
other 6% +$64
world 3% +$32
politics 3% +$12
crypto 1% +$13
tech 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron BUY Shelton 100¢ $24 2m
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha BUY Isaro/Poonacha 100¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 100¢ $1,809 21m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Rudolf Molleker BUY Georgii Kravchenko 100¢ $30 22m
Set 1 Winner: Pieri vs Granwehr BUY Granwehr 100¢ $48 22m
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 100¢ $1,809 37m
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Mihalikova/Nicholls BUY Mihalikova/Nicholls 100¢ $4 45m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 100¢ $27 47m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 100¢ $144 48m
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Mihalikova/Nicholls BUY Mihalikova/Nicholls 100¢ $2 50m
Set Handicap: Stoiana (-1.5) vs Sun (+1.5) BUY Stoiana 100¢ $3 55m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 100¢ $12 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 100¢ $26 1h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 100¢ $265 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 100¢ $593 1h
Set 1 Winner: Prozorova vs Kraus BUY Prozorova 100¢ $44 1h
Lyon (Doubles): Ruehl/Wehnelt vs Mansouri/Neuchrist BUY Mansouri/Neuchrist 100¢ $2 1h
Set 1 Winner: Ibragimova vs Burel BUY Burel 100¢ $111 2h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula BUY Martha Matoula 100¢ $100 2h
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech BUY Bergs/Rinderknech 100¢ $26 2h
Set 1 Winner: Contri vs Durand BUY Contri 100¢ $53 2h
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech BUY Bergs/Rinderknech 100¢ $500 2h
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz BUY Arends/Pel 100¢ $270 2h
ITF kiseljak: Andrej Nedic vs Yaroslav Demin BUY Yaroslav Demin 100¢ $26 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1,581 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $42 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $185 2h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 100¢ $195 2h
Set 1 Winner: Adams vs Jeong BUY Adams 100¢ $25 2h
Libema Open (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden BUY Neel/Olmos 100¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 781 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1026 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1026 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 1026 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,946.90 · official $2,946.90 (match) · 3500 history records