Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66cf…2343
crypto · 575 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,735 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,730 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$2,730
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses199 / 375
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)574 / 575
History coverage40d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day73.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 574 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$1,077
14 days−$2,006
30 days−$2,782
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Down 64¢ 72¢ $34 $38 +$4 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 60¢ 28¢ $9 $4 −$5 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$10 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$36 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$16 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$25 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$73 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $63 +$45 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$13 -30%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? Jun 11 $198 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $75 +$66 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $132 +$54 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $28 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $93 −$31 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$17 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $36 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $66 −$27 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $370 +$155 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $302 +$218 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $59 −$33 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $36 −$28 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $55 +$16 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $55 −$16 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $58 −$29 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 10 $53 −$37 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $53 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,749
other 1% +$8
sports 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $32 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $61 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -41.0% -46.6% 27% 19% -20.5%
≤30d 448 -27.5% -34.4% 30% 24% -20.8%
≤90d 574 -21.5% -29.0% 35% 27% -17.7%
all 574 -21.5% -29.0% 35% 27% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.0% 27% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 22% -25.6%
15% -42.0% 17% -32.8%
20% -47.7% 14% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.77 · official $42.77 (match) · 3500 history records