trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 32 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 28% | 9% | -32.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.7% | 9% | -32.8% |
| 10% | -26.5% | 9% | -39.3% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 9% | -45.1% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 9% | -50.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $500 | $500 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $310 | $310 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $190 | $190 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs. Blue Jays | Aug 15 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Aug 15 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jul 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jul 09 | $2 | +$5 | +203% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 02 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 30 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 22 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025? | Apr 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in March? | Mar 31 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 725-749 times March 7-14? | Mar 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary e | Mar 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Rangers | Jan 03 | $100 | +$100 | +100% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 01 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024? | Jan 01 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024? | Jan 01 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Berachain launch in 2024? | Jan 01 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Dec 30 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Dec 27 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |