Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66e5…d3c7
sports · 782 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$12,055 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,658 · open +$397
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,445
Realized+$11,658
Unrealized+$397
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses470 / 305
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$6,354
Open positions5
Markets (closed)775 / 782
History coverage58d
Avg bet$905
Trades / day30.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 5 History 775 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,470
7 days+$15,764
14 days+$20,183
30 days+$23,999
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 81¢ 90¢ $4,050 $4,525 +$475 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 76¢ 76¢ $2,358 $2,359 +$2 (+0%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Natus Vincere 66¢ 83¢ $660 $830 +$170 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 59¢ 73¢ $590 $730 +$140 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 39¢ 0¢ $390 $0 −$389 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 55¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $1,017 $0 −$1,017 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 22¢ 0¢ $1,077 $0 −$1,077 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $690 $0 −$690 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 71¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $620 $0 −$620 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 52¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 59¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 57¢ 0¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 4 Winner EDward Gaming 74¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 60¢ 0¢ $599 $0 −$599 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $1,120 $0 −$1,120 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $680 $0 −$680 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 59¢ 0¢ $1,126 $0 −$1,126 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 52¢ 0¢ $520 $0 −$520 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 68¢ 0¢ $680 $0 −$680 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $657 +$342 +52%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $280 −$280 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,291 +$1,709 +132%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $204 +$46 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $407 +$92 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,481 −$1,463 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $503 +$497 +99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $577 −$570 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $337 −$330 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $11,176 +$1,465 +13%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $327 −$320 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $387 +$613 +158%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $970 +$530 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,668 +$1,452 +54%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,266 +$240 +19%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $774 −$760 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,521 +$926 +37%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $709 +$539 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $284 −$280 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $417 −$34 -8%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,095 −$1,080 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $558 +$460 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $587 −$470 -80%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,683 +$703 +42%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $360 −$360 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $995 +$1,003 +101%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $1,331 +$125 +9%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $824 +$2,676 +325%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1,432 −$1,420 -99%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $641 −$630 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $477 −$470 -98%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $213 +$37 +17%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,030 +$970 +48%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $477 +$523 +109%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5,024 +$928 +18%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,950 +$1,050 +54%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $69 −$68 -98%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $726 −$321 -44%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $272 −$270 -99%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $487 −$480 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 09 $417 +$583 +140%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $467 +$533 +114%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $437 +$563 +129%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,345 +$2,655 +79%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 08 $33 +$67 +206%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $687 +$313 +46%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $225 −$196 -87%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $606 −$599 -99%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $487 −$480 -98%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 08 $803 −$788 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$4,481
other 8% +$6,585
crypto 0% −$242
world 0% +$1,232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 83¢ $1,314 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $999 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $1,059 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $667 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $119 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 81¢ $4,073 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $448 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $657 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $302 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $64 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $39 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $59 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $39 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $70 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 27¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $250 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $499 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +10.3% -0.2% 61% 60% +4.7%
≤30d 360 +1.1% -8.5% 60% 57% -3.5%
≤90d 775 -0.1% -9.6% 61% 57% -7.6%
all 775 -0.1% -9.6% 61% 57% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 57% -7.6%
10% -18.3% 47% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here -26.2% 35% -24.5%
20% -33.4% 26% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,444.85 · official $8,444.85 (match) · 2049 history records