Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T11:02:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
66 0x66ef…9ff4 crypto 658 markets active 1h ago coverage 52d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$286 (+1%) realized +$286 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%653W / 5L
Drawdown19%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day14.4pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$19
14 days+$68
30 days+$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$259
other 16% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 189 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤90d 658 +0.4% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.7%
all 658 +0.4% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 0% -8.7%
10% -17.8% 0% -17.5%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.0% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$13 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×5.16 per $1 lost it wins $5.16
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$286
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses653 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)658 / 658
History coverage52d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 658 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 21 $34 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 20 $11 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 20 $7 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $14 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $19 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $37 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $78 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $28 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $100 +$2 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $51 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $164 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $58 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $165 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $34 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 21h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 32h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $41 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $56 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $71 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 8d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $62 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.34 · official $0.00 · 1399 history records