Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x66f2…2515
crypto · 1078 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$66 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses539 / 539
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1078 / 1078
History coverage73d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1078 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$292
7 days−$281
14 days−$242
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 11¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 14¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 10¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +425%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$19 +600%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +374%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$93
other 1% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 -87.9% -89.1% 2% 2% -81.7%
≤30d 293 -33.3% -39.7% 10% 10% -29.4%
≤90d 1078 -2.5% -11.8% 50% 42% -11.2%
all 1078 -2.5% -11.8% 50% 42% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 42% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 30% -19.7%
15% -27.9% 17% -27.5%
20% -35.0% 8% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2684 history records