trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +11.3% | +0.7% | 43% | 43% | +22.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +38.0% | +24.8% | 64% | 64% | +43.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +30.2% | +17.8% | 62% | 62% | +32.5% |
| all | 26 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 46% | 46% | -5.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 46% | -5.7% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 46% | -14.7% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 42% | -23.0% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 38% | -30.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $300 | $299 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $125 | $125 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $75 | $85 | +$10 (+14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $143 | +$222 | +155% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | +$22 | +108% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $152 | −$94 | -62% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$5 | -22% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $122 | +$122 | +100% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $151 | +$50 | +33% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $256 | +$105 | +41% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $233 | +$231 | +99% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 19 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 19 | $500 | +$378 | +76% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Feb 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | Feb 09 | $204 | +$196 | +96% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Jan 15 | $150 | −$149 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Jan 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Jan 15 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Wild | Dec 20 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Texas A&M | Dec 20 | $291 | −$213 | -73% |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma | Dec 20 | $430 | −$318 | -74% |
| Memphis vs. North Carolina State | Dec 19 | $202 | −$202 | -100% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan | Dec 19 | $180 | +$93 | +52% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 | Dec 19 | $240 | +$227 | +95% |
| Penguins vs. Senators | Dec 19 | $247 | −$247 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Golden Knights | Dec 18 | $165 | +$233 | +141% |