Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:33:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x670b…d4ce
crypto · 1568 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$10,339 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,339 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,339
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses609 / 873
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1482 / 1568
History coverage33d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day93.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,358
7 days−$3,508
14 days+$1,242
30 days+$10,551
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$23 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,635
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $24 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $24 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $31 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 324 -34.6% -40.9% 22% 21% -51.6%
≤30d 1324 -2.9% -12.1% 41% 39% +4.8%
≤90d 1482 -3.0% -12.2% 41% 39% +3.2%
all 1482 -3.0% -12.2% 41% 39% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 39% +3.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 36% -6.7%
15% -28.3% 32% -15.7%
20% -35.3% 27% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records