Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T20:08:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x6719…a897 crypto 72 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (199 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)
Total PnL +$119 (+5%) realized +$119 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate67%48W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day199.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (199 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -3.2% -12.4% 67% 46% -10.8%
≤30d 72 -3.2% -12.4% 67% 46% -10.8%
≤90d 72 -3.2% -12.4% 67% 46% -10.8%
all 72 -3.2% -12.4% 67% 46% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover199.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 46% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 36% -19.4%
15% -28.5% 24% -27.2%
20% -35.5% 15% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 59% · top 2 64% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$27 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses48 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day199.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 21 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$4 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 21 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 21 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 21 $210 −$196 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 21 $306 −$306 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 21 $156 +$362 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $41 +$26 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 21 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 21 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $41 +$13 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 21 $61 +$14 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 21 $60 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 21 $41 +$18 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 21 $81 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 21 $90 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 21 $61 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 21 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 21 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 21 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 21 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 21 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 21 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 236 history records