Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:54:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x671d…c1c6 crypto 633 markets active 0h ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (104 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$9,555 (-50%) realized −$9,555 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate33%305W / 619L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day104.2pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,089
7 days−$9,903
14 days−$9,903
30 days−$10,591
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$2,504
other 1% −$33
sports 0% +$64
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (104 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 496 -26.1% -33.1% 27% 24% -82.7%
≤30d 722 -23.3% -30.6% 30% 27% -73.1%
≤90d 924 -14.8% -22.9% 33% 30% -50.4%
all 924 -14.8% -22.9% 33% 30% -50.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover104.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 30% -50.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 26% -55.1%
15% -37.0% 22% -59.5%
20% -43.2% 18% -63.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -45% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -45% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -32% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$27 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.26 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,555
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses305 / 619
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)924 / 633
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$30
Trades / day104.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 924 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $57 −$49 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$11 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $355 −$355 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$14 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $27 +$16 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$13 +429%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 24m
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $9 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records