Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x672d…97f1
sports · 262 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$246 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$298 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$298
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses93 / 149
Est. fees paid−$69
Open positions13
Markets (closed)242 / 262
History coverage238d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 13 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$125
7 days+$19
14 days−$85
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Over 5¢ 4¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5 Over 9¢ 6¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-35%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Yes 41¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 Over 21¢ 18¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 76¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? Yes 38¢ 45¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 Over 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5 Over 5¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $11 +$5 +42%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $25 −$12 -47%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$7 +216%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 +$3 +67%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Hai Jun 13 $3 −$1 -19%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $17 +$55 +318%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $25 +$26 +103%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 +$7 +46%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$7 +67%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $25 +$17 +68%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $25 +$15 +61%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 +$11 +126%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -7%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 +$4 +92%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $25 −$25 -100%
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -60%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 08 $1 $0 -46%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 08 $1 $0 -25%
Egypt leading at halftime? Jun 08 $1 $0 -31%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -7%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 08 $1 $0 -14%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $1 $0 -8%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -6%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $1 $0 -5%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $7 $0 -1%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $34 −$34 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$325
other 7% +$31
politics 1% −$1
weather 0% −$3
tech 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
crypto 0% −$2
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $5 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 8¢ $5 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $5 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $15 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 79¢ $13 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $10 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 31¢ $3 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 57¢ $7 8h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 71¢ $7 8h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 90¢ $10 8h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 8h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $5 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 33¢ $4 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 72¢ $5 8h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 16¢ $3 9h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 57¢ $5 9h
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY Yes 76¢ $2 9h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $1 9h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Hai SELL 10¢ $2 10h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 AND Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY 16¢ $5 10h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Wil BUY 7¢ $3 10h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Portugal (-1.5) AND Will Spain BUY 26¢ $5 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Hai BUY 12¢ $3 10h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 9¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +10.0% -0.5% 40% 40% -5.0%
≤30d 152 -7.4% -16.2% 34% 32% -19.0%
≤90d 231 -7.2% -16.1% 38% 35% -18.3%
all 242 -7.1% -16.0% 38% 35% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 35% -18.1%
10% -24.0% 32% -26.0%
15% -31.4% 30% -33.1%
20% -38.1% 23% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.34 · official $61.66 · 606 history records