Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:20:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6730…cded
crypto · 242 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses229 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)239 / 242
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day30.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$45
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 97¢ 97¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 95¢ 96¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by less than 10%? No 98¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$30
finance 3% −$18
other 1% +$1
sports 1% +$2
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 11h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 12h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -1.4% -10.8% 96% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 239 -1.3% -10.7% 96% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 239 -1.3% -10.7% 96% 0% -10.7%
all 239 -1.3% -10.7% 96% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 0% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 0% -19.2%
15% -27.1% 0% -27.0%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.02 · official $43.02 (match) · 487 history records