Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:54:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
67 0x673a…78e3 crypto 1348 markets active 5d ago coverage 88d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$52 (-2%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR66%break-even
Win rate68%910W / 438L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day21.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$88
politics 1% $0
other 1% −$7
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 552 +0.4% -9.2% 69% 67% -15.2%
≤30d 627 +1.7% -8.0% 70% 68% -13.7%
≤90d 1294 -4.4% -13.5% 67% 66% -20.6%
all 1348 -2.0% -11.3% 68% 66% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 66% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 53% -21.6%
15% -27.6% 37% -29.2%
20% -34.7% 15% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses910 / 438
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1348 / 1348
History coverage88d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1348 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2995 history records