Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x673a…212a
sports · 231 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$104
Realized−$40
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses134 / 91
Open positions6
Markets (closed)225 / 231
History coverage87d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 6 History 225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-21? No 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Spirit 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-22? No 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Islanders vs. Canadiens Islanders 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21? Yes 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw? No 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-03-21? No 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Rodrigo Pacheco Rodrigo Pacheco 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osorio Camila Osorio 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Gran Canaria vs. CB Breogan Lugo Gran Canaria 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21? No 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-21? No 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 20? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $61 +$34 +55%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$20 +97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$30 +158%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $103 −$6 -6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenia May 06 $1 +$1 +82%
Will CA Tucumán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw? Mar 28 $4 +$1 +20%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Mar 25 $10 $0 -3%
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the Mar 25 $1 $0 +6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Mar 25 $1 $0 +22%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Mar 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-22? Mar 23 $12 +$9 +75%
Nets vs. Kings Mar 23 $3 +$2 +47%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5 Mar 22 $4 +$1 +39%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $6 +$4 +74%
Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $6 +$2 +32%
Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $4 +$1 +19%
Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5 Mar 22 $4 +$1 +25%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $12 +$6 +55%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $7 +$3 +35%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? Mar 22 $4 +$1 +37%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Mar 22 $6 +$2 +29%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gro Mar 22 $4 +$1 +30%
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 Mar 22 $7 +$3 +46%
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $7 +$3 +43%
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $4 +$1 +27%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? Mar 22 $4 +$1 +19%
Will AZ win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $3 $0 +0%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 22 $3 +$1 +39%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $3 $0 +5%
SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw? Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $9 −$9 -100%
Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $4 $0 -1%
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Gran Canaria vs. CB Breogan Lugo Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Mar 22 $10 −$2 -21%
76ers vs. Jazz Mar 22 $3 +$2 +45%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $3 +$2 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$14
sports 40% −$40
crypto 3% −$4
tech 2% −$1
world 2% −$10
politics 0% +$1
weather 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $20 1h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $20 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $20 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 11h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 18h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $51 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $25 23h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $20 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $96 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $9 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 4d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 4d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 4d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 4d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $103 5d
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? SELL No 30¢ $10 80d
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the SELL Yes 83¢ $1 80d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m SELL Yes 3¢ $1 80d
US forces enter Iran by April 30? BUY No 44¢ $10 80d
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $10 80d
Will AZ win on 2026-03-22? SELL No 60¢ $0 83d
Will AZ win on 2026-03-22? SELL No 60¢ $3 83d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -6.0% -14.9% 44% 44% -6.4%
≤30d 9 -6.0% -14.9% 44% 44% -6.4%
≤90d 225 -8.1% -16.8% 60% 52% -12.6%
all 225 -8.1% -16.8% 60% 52% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 52% -12.6%
10% -24.8% 42% -21.0%
15% -32.0% 32% -28.6%
20% -38.7% 20% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.30 · official $104.30 (match) · 511 history records