Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:59:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6741…2083
crypto · 556 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$167 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$164 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$164
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses267 / 287
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions2
Markets (closed)554 / 556
History coverage79d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$54
14 days−$241
30 days−$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 52¢ 22¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-57%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 31¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 64¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BIG 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$4 +101%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $50 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $54 +$20 +38%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $19 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $22 −$22 -99%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $20 +$21 +106%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$22 +109%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $15 +$17 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$6 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$5 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $9 +$7 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$4 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$76
sports 28% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 45¢ $50 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 31¢ $14 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Legacy 100¢ $75 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 72¢ $54 3d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis SELL Sorana Cirstea 99¢ $55 3d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis BUY Sorana Cirstea 91¢ $50 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY paiN 46¢ $19 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 49¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 65¢ $21 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -3.1% -12.3% 50% 48% -17.5%
≤30d 222 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 43% -20.8%
≤90d 554 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 47% -13.6%
all 554 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 47% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 47% -13.6%
10% -19.6% 47% -21.9%
15% -27.3% 47% -29.4%
20% -34.5% 46% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.53 · official $10.15 · 1228 history records