Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0x6741…127e

other · 4 markets active 1h ago

7.0score

+$33 +28%

TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$9

avoidriskycopy

✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$29

Realized+$24

Unrealized+$9

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses2 / 0

Open positions2

Markets (closed)2 / 4

History coverage12d

Avg bet$30

Trades / day0.7

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit25%

Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$24

7 days+$24

14 days+$24

30 days+$24

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	20¢	46¢	$10	$23	+$13 (+132%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	54¢	32¢	$10	$6	−$4 (-40%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele	Jun 11	$96	+$23	+24%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Jun 11	$2	$0	+14%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

politics 81% +$23

other 19% +$10

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY Yes	20¢	$10	1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY Yes	54¢	$10	1h
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele	SELL Yes	87¢	$119	22h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL Yes	100¢	$2	22h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY Yes	87¢	$2	23h
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele	BUY Yes	79¢	$8	11d
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele	BUY Yes	68¢	$21	12d
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele	BUY Yes	68¢	$67	12d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

worth copying (survives realistic slippage)

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +100%

net ROI/market (all)+7.8%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	2	+19.1%	+7.8%	100%	100%	+12.2%
≤30d	2	+19.1%	+7.8%	100%	100%	+12.2%
≤90d	2	+19.1%	+7.8%	100%	100%	+12.2%
all	2	+19.1%	+7.8%	100%	100%	+12.2%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover0.7 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to5%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+7.8%	100%	+12.2%
10%	-2.6%	50%	+1.5%
15%	-12.0%	0%	-8.3%
20%	-20.6%	0%	-17.3%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.27 · official $29.27 (match) · 8 history records