Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6748…ee08
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,055 +78%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,053 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,588
Realized+$5,053
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses515 / 144
Open positions3
Markets (closed)659 / 174
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day3381.0
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 3 History 659 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,053
7 days+$5,053
14 days+$5,053
30 days+$5,053
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $250 $500 +$250 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $250 $500 +$250 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $250 $500 +$250 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $250 $500 +$250 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $250 $500 +$250 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $248 $497 +$248 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $240 $479 +$240 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $239 $478 +$239 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $200 $400 +$200 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $187 $375 +$188 (+101%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $150 $300 +$150 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $31 $69 +$38 (+124%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $8 $24 +$15 (+179%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $7 $16 +$9 (+142%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 47¢ 60¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+150%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+171%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 39¢ 40¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$280 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$278 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$250 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$266 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$264 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $248 +$250 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $240 +$237 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $239 +$242 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $200 +$206 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$195 +104%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$163 +109%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$150 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$41 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$22 +1262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1097%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$24 +5083%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +889%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +453%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +397%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +291%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +978%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +160%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +318%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +1760%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +1124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +965%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -613%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +423%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1507%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +254%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1530%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +204%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$238
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+474.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 659 +534.4% +474.0% 78% 75% +32.0%
≤30d 659 +534.4% +474.0% 78% 75% +32.0%
≤90d 659 +534.4% +474.0% 78% 75% +32.0%
all 659 +534.4% +474.0% 78% 75% +32.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3381.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +474.0% 75% +32.0%
10% ← realistic here +419.1% 73% +19.4%
15% +368.9% 70% +7.8%
20% +323.0% 68% -2.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,587.81 · official $7,266.78 · 3500 history records