Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:53:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

67
0x6751…f213
other · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses2 / 6
Open positions4
Markets (closed)8 / 12
History coverage59d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 18¢ 28¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+58%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$24 +473%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $7 +$40 +560%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $30 −$21 -69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+43.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +91.1% +72.9% 33% 33% +75.8%
≤30d 7 +76.2% +59.4% 29% 29% +21.4%
≤90d 8 +58.0% +43.0% 25% 25% -10.6%
all 8 +58.0% +43.0% 25% 25% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +43.0% 25% -10.6%
10% +29.3% 25% -19.2%
15% +16.8% 25% -27.0%
20% +5.3% 25% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.29 · official $27.30 (match) · 18 history records